Monday, April 29, 2019

What To Look For In Apple's (AAPL) Earnings Report - Q2 2019

Apple (AAPL) will be reporting its Q2, 2019 earnings after the stock market close on 4/30/2019. In this video, we will highlight some of the things to look for in Apple's earnings report and the price levels the market is anticipating to be potential targets.

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Stock Drop After GOOGL & WDC Reported A Miss In Their Earnings

Google and Western Digital (GOOGL & WDC) stock dropped in after hour trading after reported miss in their earnings.

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GOOGL and AMD - Stocks To Watch

Today's stocks to watch are GOOGL and AMD. They will report earnings after the market close today, and in the video are the market's projected price moves.

Correction: AMD is scheduled to report its earnings on 4/30/2019 not 4/29/2019.

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Friday, April 26, 2019

Stock Market At Record High

The stock market has reached new high once again. In this video, we will look at the market and analyze these stocks & ETF:


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Wednesday, April 24, 2019

Tesla Earnings, A Huge Miss ! ! !

Tesla earnings reported a much bigger loss than the market expected.

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Tuesday, April 23, 2019

What You Need To Know About Tesla Before It Reports Q1’19 Earnings?

Tesla (TSLA) is due to report Q1’19 earnings on April 24, 2019 after the market close. From its last quarter earnings report, it has stated it will likely incur a loss for Q1. In addition, it has reported less than projected number of vehicles delivered for the quarter due to logistics on getting the model 3 to China and Europe. The price of its stock has loss 14.5% since the last earnings report to the most recent closing price.

It will be interesting to see how the stock price reacts when Tesla reports its Q1’19 earnings. The surprise is not it will report a loss, but how big is the loss. More importantly, the answer to the following questions will most likely impact the near term stock price; what is the next quarter expectation, will the losses be continued into the following quarters, what is the number of vehicles (specifically model 3) delivery expectation for China and Europe in the coming quarter, and what is the rest of the year’s outlook?

As we wait for clarity to the above questions, let’s do a some technical analysis on Tesla’s stock chart and see what it is telling us about the near term price movements.

From the weekly chart, we can see TSLA stock price has been fluctuating between 248 and 387 for more than two years (shaded area), and the stock price is currently sitting just slightly above the bottom of this price range.

Looking at the daily time frame, it shows TSLA stock price is being very respectful to the declining trend line. The last four times the price came up to this trend line, it got rejected and reversed back down. Now, the price has moved back up near this trend line, will it get rejected for the fifth time? There are three possible price movement scenarios; 1) move up and break above the trend line, 2) move back down to the bottom of the 2+ years price range, 3) move up to the trend line and get rejected back down once again.

If the scenario is for the price to break above the trend line, how high will the stock price move in the near term? And if the scenario is for the price to head back down, how low will it drop in the near term? Since TSLA is schedule to report earnings next Wednesday, we can get some ideas on where the price might be headed for either direction by looking at what the options market has priced in for Tesla’s earnings.

Based on the most recent closing prices, the options market has priced in approximate +/-8.5% or +/-$23, and this will result in a price range between approximately 241 to 286.

To determine how realistic this price move might be, we will look back at what the stock price did 10 days after Tesla has reported its earnings from the last ten earnings report periods.

From the last ten earnings reporting periods, there were three occasions where the price went up more than 9% on the tenth day after reported earnings, and the other seven reporting periods where the price went down less than 9%. On those periods where the price went up, the percentage of increase were 9.81%, 18.17% and 20.07%. The least amount of decrease from those negative periods was -0.03%, and the largest amount of decrease was -8.05%.

Base on the last ten reporting periods, the positive 9% priced in by the options market appears to be realistic and wouldn’t be surprised to see price move more than 9% if the market view the report to be positive. And the negative 8.5% seems to be the extreme if the market viewed the earnings/forward guidance to be negative.

I personally do not like to trade through earnings, but if I were to carry a position through earnings, I would look into selling the May 5, 2019 220 PUT for under $2.00. In order for the stock price to move below 220, it has to decrease by almost 20% from the last closing price of 263.90, that is almost two times the 8.5% move priced in by the options market. If I were to sell those PUT options, I would also be willing to buy the stock at 220 if it was assigned to me.

Here is the video version of this pre-earnings look at TSLA stock:

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Thursday, April 18, 2019

What Caused NIO To Surge More Than 5%

Recent rumor is stirring up the price of NIO. Watch this video to find out what was the rumor and what price levels to monitor if NIO stock price continues to surge.

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Saturday, April 13, 2019

Stock Market Closing In On All Time High

The stock market is getting closer to its all time high. With the earnings season getting underway, will the market make new high or it will falter and head lower? We will take a look at some possible scenarios in this week's stock market recap. In addition, we will look at the FAANG stocks to see how they might help push the market to new high or drag it back down.

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Thursday, April 11, 2019

3 Chip Stock To Watch (NVDA, MU, AMD)

Here are 3 chip stocks to watch for possible long and short; NVDA, MU and AMD.

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Wednesday, April 10, 2019

NIO Swing Trade Watch Update

NIO still hovering near its all time low of $4.90. But the price actions seem to indicate it might be setting up to make a turn up.

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Sunday, April 7, 2019

NIO Swing Trade Analysis

This is a video of my NIO swing trade analysis. I was analyzing it for possible swing trade scenarios for next week and when I finished, I decided to upload it to my YouTube channel and share it with you. Hope you'll find it informative.

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Friday, April 5, 2019

New High Coming?

The market put in another strong positive week and it is inching closer to its all time high. In this video, we will analyze the price action and establish some scenarios on what the market might do. Will it be heading toward a new all time high?

In addition, we will also analyze the FAANG stocks.

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Thursday, April 4, 2019

LYFT Stock Price Is Up Again

For two consecutive days, LYFT stock price closed up. Today it closed up $2.00 at 72.09, nine cents above its IPO price. In this video, we will analyze the price action and see where it might be headed in the coming days.

In my previous video on LYFT, I presented my analysis on the price actions and show how I've established some key price levels to monitor. To watch the previous LYFT video, click on this link

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LYFT stock price went up today!

For the first time since #LYFT went public, its stock price closed up. Although the price is still below the IPO price, it is a good sign to see it bounces off the recent low. In this video, we will take a look at the recent price action and determine where the stock price might be headed in the near term.

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Monday, April 1, 2019

Why I Wouldn't Be Buying LYFT & LEVI Anytime Soon! - 4/1/2019

This is a follow up on my review on LYFT & LEVI.

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