The stock market continues to make new all time high, even in a holiday shorten trading week. Internals are still intact for newer high. In this video, we will review the stock market indices and their respective ETF, #FAANG stocks (FB, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL), TSLA, BABA, TWTR, BAC, GS, JPM, MRO, DVN and SPWR for possible near term price moves.
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Opinions from a stock market trader.
Disclaimer: The contents in this blog are purely for entertainment and educational purposes only. They are not investment advice. Use them at your own risk.
Sunday, November 26, 2017
Sunday, November 19, 2017
Sunday, November 5, 2017
Another Week Of New High In The Stock Market
In this stock market update, we will review the ETF for the stock market indexes, and analyze the FAANG stocks along with couple of the recent IPO stocks.
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Saturday, October 28, 2017
Sunday, October 22, 2017
Nothing Has Changed
The stock market continues to make new high and the internals have not change much at all. We will continue to maintain a cautionary stance as the market remains near record high territory.
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Click here to view the video.
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Sunday, October 15, 2017
Bears Attempting To Take The Stock Market Down
The stock market made another new high last week, but as the week coming to an end, the bears are making another attempt to weaken the market. In this video, we will take a look at these stocks & ETFs: FB, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, GLD, BAC, GS, MS, QCOM, CRM, WDAY, ATHM, CMG, PCLN, ALKS, MCD, ADBE, SNAP, UAA, AGU, MOS, POT, SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA.
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Saturday, October 7, 2017
Stock Market Continues To Frustrate The Bears
The stock market continues to frustrate the bears. It continues to put in new all time high as the VIX hovers near historical low level. We all know this will eventually come to an end, but the market internals remain to be strong and still telling us new high is yet to come.
In this video, we will take a look at the indices and analyze these stocks for potential future price action: FB, AAPL AMZN NFLX, GOOGL, QCOM, CRM, WDAY, ATHM, CMG, PCLN, ALKS, MCD, ADBE, SNAP, UAA.
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In this video, we will take a look at the indices and analyze these stocks for potential future price action: FB, AAPL AMZN NFLX, GOOGL, QCOM, CRM, WDAY, ATHM, CMG, PCLN, ALKS, MCD, ADBE, SNAP, UAA.
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Thursday, October 5, 2017
Stock Market Closed At Another New High
The stock market continues to make new high and the internals still flashing higher high. In this video, a brief recap on the indices and a quick look at these names: QCOM, CRM, WDAY, ATHM, CMG, PCLN, ALKS, FB, MCD.
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Friday, September 22, 2017
New All Time High Still In The Card
The stock market pulled back after closing at a new all time closing high earlier in the week. The market internals along with the new all time closing high from the NYA and RUT are telling us to continue to monitor for new closing high from the stock market.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
Monday, September 11, 2017
Stock Market Closed At New High
Today, the SP500 closed at a new all time closing high. In this video, we will review today's price action and review these stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, TWTR, GLD, SPY, QQQ, IWM.
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Sunday, September 10, 2017
Stock Market Is Struggling Toward New High
The stock market has been trying to get back to it's all time high, but it is having a difficult time getting there. A continuation on the recent pullback for the coming week is highly probable. Until the market is back at it's all time high, the bias should remain on the downside.
Click here to watch the video for levels to monitor.
Click here to watch the video for levels to monitor.
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Monday, September 4, 2017
Stock Market Update - 9/4/2017
In this stock market update, we will review the stock market indexes, and analyze stocks for trade setup using technical analysis technique.
Stock analyzed: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, GOOGL, SPY, QQQ, IWM, GLD, GDX, GDXJ, ABX
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Stock analyzed: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, GOOGL, SPY, QQQ, IWM, GLD, GDX, GDXJ, ABX
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Monday, August 28, 2017
Gold Next Price Target: $1400
Gold has broken out and closed above the 1300 level today. If the price of gold continue to move higher, then $1400 could be the nearest potential price target.
In this video, we will take a look at gold and it's EFT, GLD. In addition, we will also review the following gold related ETFs and stocks: GDX, GDXJ, NUGT, JNUG, ABX, AU, AUY, NEM.
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In this video, we will take a look at gold and it's EFT, GLD. In addition, we will also review the following gold related ETFs and stocks: GDX, GDXJ, NUGT, JNUG, ABX, AU, AUY, NEM.
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Saturday, August 26, 2017
Is There A Bounce Coming ? (8/26/2017)
The stock market is showing some divergence, could a bounce be in the offing? In this stock market update, we will review the stock market indexes, and analyze stocks for trade setup using technical analysis technique.
Stock analyzed: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, TSLA, TWTR, SPY, QQQ, IWM
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Stock analyzed: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, TSLA, TWTR, SPY, QQQ, IWM
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Pin Levels For This Week's OpEx - 8/22/2017
In this live Trading The Price, we will look at the possible pin levels for this week for SPX, SPY, AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, TSLA, GS & TWTR.
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Click here to view the video.
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Saturday, August 19, 2017
Stock Market Continue To Pull Back - August 19, 2017
The stock market continue to pull back last week. Market breadth indicators are showing sign of deterioration and the Dow Theory is confirming the DJIA pull back. Until we see the stock market showing signs of stabilizing, one should remain cautious. In this stock market update, we will review the price action of the indices and these stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, TSLA, GLD/GC_F.
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Saturday, August 12, 2017
Was That A Stock Market Top?
The stock market record closing streak finally came to an end on August 8, 2017. It ended after the Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) has closed with nine consecutive record close. The end of the record streak did not come quietly. It ended on a day the DJIA and SP500 made an all time intraday high then reversed to close with a loss. Was that a stock market top?
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Don't forget to click the "Thumbs Up" to like and subscribe to my YouTube channel: https://goo.gl/AT4vhQ
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Sunday, August 6, 2017
Has The Stock Market Topped - August 6, 2017
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at all time high last week. It has closed at record high level for the last eight consecutive trading sessions. This beg one to ask the question, "Has the stock market topped?" In this stock market update, we will analyze the market price action to get clues to help us answer the question.
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Click here to watch the video.
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Wednesday, August 2, 2017
Earnings Analysis On AAPL & TSLA - Trading The Price 8/1/17
In this edition of Trading The Price, we will do a post earnings analysis on AAPL and a pre-earnings analysis on TSLA to identify potential price movement.
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Click here to view the video.
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Labels:
"earnings report",
AAPL,
earnings,
TSLA
Monday, July 31, 2017
Stock Market Raised Cautionary Flag - 7/29/2017
The stock market has raised a cautionary flag as the month of July is coming to an end. It has flashed warning signs to tell us to be cautious.
In this stock market recap video, we will look at some of those warning signs, and review the following momentum stocks: AAPL FB BABA TSLA GOOGL AMZN NVDA NFLX to see where they might be headed.
In addition, we will take a look at the recent price action in gold and analyze some of the gold miners EFTs ( GDX GDXJ JNUG NUGT) and mining stocks (AU ABX) for potential trade opportunities.
Click here to watch the video.
In this stock market recap video, we will look at some of those warning signs, and review the following momentum stocks: AAPL FB BABA TSLA GOOGL AMZN NVDA NFLX to see where they might be headed.
In addition, we will take a look at the recent price action in gold and analyze some of the gold miners EFTs ( GDX GDXJ JNUG NUGT) and mining stocks (AU ABX) for potential trade opportunities.
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Sunday, May 22, 2016
Still Watching
The market pulled back in the recent week and it appears to be setting up for a possible bounce. As the market waits for the next FOMC interest rate decision, we will continue to watch for a bounce that might lead to a retest of the all time high.
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Sunday, May 15, 2016
Beware Of The Obvious
There is an obvious price pattern on the price chart for the SPY and the emini SP500 futures. That obvious price pattern is the head & shoulder. Not saying all head & shoulder patterns will fail, but if one put the price pattern within the context of the market breadth indicators, one needs to beware of the obvious! Although there has been a recent minor pullback, but the market indicators on my watch list have not turned negative. If this H&S pattern breaks along with deteriorating market breadth, then the prudent thing to do is to wait for a potential retest of the neckline before considering a move toward the downside. In the meantime, be defensive and be cautious as the market attempts to re-establish a near term direction.
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Monday, May 2, 2016
Continuation
The market is still continuing to consolidate for the next potential upward move. In this video, a review of the market's price action and some potential near term moves for these momo stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX & TWTR.
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Sunday, April 24, 2016
A Perfect Storm For The Market?
Next week, some large cap tech stocks are schedule to report their earnings, and the FED is meeting to decide the next move on US interest rate along with lots of economic reports. It could be lining up for a perfect storm for the market to make a big move in either direction.
In this video, we will look at some possible price action for the market and the following momo stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX & TWTR.
In this video, we will look at some possible price action for the market and the following momo stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX & TWTR.
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Which Party Is Responsible?
As the 2016 US Presidential election approaches, Americans are being bombarded with politically biased materials to point finger at the opposing party for the country’s lackluster economic performance, and to compare historically how the US economy performed better under a particular political party. The truth of the matter is both political parties are equally responsible for our country’s mess. There are materials presented to highlight how the stock market had performed better under one political party in power than the other political party. The bottom line is this, “Did either political party made you, your children and your grand children more financially secure for the future?”
If you really love your country, then focus on how to fix our political system instead of laying blames at the opposing party! And don't forget to vote and exercise your rights.
"If you don't vote, you can't complain!"
Here are some views on how both parties are equally responsible for our country’s financial situation.
If you really love your country, then focus on how to fix our political system instead of laying blames at the opposing party! And don't forget to vote and exercise your rights.
"If you don't vote, you can't complain!"
Here are some views on how both parties are equally responsible for our country’s financial situation.
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Labels:
#election2016,
2016 election
Tuesday, April 19, 2016
Mid Week Market & Stocks Update - 4/19/2016
A brief update on the market and these momo stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX, TWTR.
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Sunday, April 17, 2016
Unsettled
The market continues to be unsettled as it is attempting to make a turn. Since the DJI & SPX made a new closing low on Feb 11, 2016 off from their all time closing high, the breadth has been improving. Recently, that improvement appears to have stalled and the breadth started to show some divergence. In addition to a diverging breadth, the non-confirmed recovery high based on the Dow Theory remains unresolved. Until the divergence and the non-confirmation issues are resolved, one should continue to be on the defensive and be very selective on either side of the trade, long or short.
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Thursday, April 14, 2016
Market Iterates Cautionary Message
Today’s price action in the market might be viewed as dull to some participants, but the message it sent was very informative to the market watchers.
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Labels:
Dow Theory,
ES_F,
spx,
SPY
Monday, April 11, 2016
Was It An April Fool And What Just Happened?
Did you see what the market did on April 1, 2016? No, it was not an April fool. It was a positive close with negative breadth. You might ask what does that mean. Well, if you have been following and/or trading the market for the last couple of weeks, then you have already experienced it; the pullback. Before April 1st, there was a non-confirmed Dow Theory recovery high on March 29, and that was the first message the market sent out to alert us to be cautious. When the positive close with negative breadth occurred on April 1, the market told us to be prepared for pullback. Since April 1, the market had a mild pullback with the SP500 losing 30.79 points or 1.48% on a closing basis and negative for the year, while the DJI lost 236.34 points or 1.3% but remains positive for the year.
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Dow Theory,
ES_F,
spx,
SPY
Sunday, March 20, 2016
Nothing Is New!
The market continues to climb higher as many market participants continue to ponder on when it will rollover and experience a sizeable correction to remove the excess. Many have put forth technical corollaries to point out the similarities from the past and the consequences it might hold. Numerous price derivative indicators highlighting excessive overbought have been published to support the cries for a correction from these market participants.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Back In Sync
Yesterday I warned about the negative divergence that the market has been displaying for the last couple of trading sessions, and this negative divergence needs to be resolved or another extended pullback such as the one we have experienced from May 19, 2015 to February 11, 2016 could appear.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Caution!
The market has been holding on to a negative divergence in the last couple trading sessions. Today, the market sent a non-confirmed recovery high with negative breadth message to warn of potential change in direction. Until this divergence has dissipated, be very cautious on overly extended toward the long side. If this negative divergence does not get resolved soon, be prepared for a possible extended downward move. Last time the market sent out this similar message was on May 19, 2015, and the Dow Jones Industrial did not see a higher high since and only on February 11, 2016 when the Dow Jones Industrial put in a non-confirmed low to start this recent rally. Will today’s message result in a similar outcome as the May 19, 2015? We just have to wait and see.
Just a reminder, tomorrow the FOMC will announce its latest decision on interest rate, and Chairwoman Yellen will hold a press conference after the FOMC meeting. Beware of potential increase in volatility!
Just a reminder, tomorrow the FOMC will announce its latest decision on interest rate, and Chairwoman Yellen will hold a press conference after the FOMC meeting. Beware of potential increase in volatility!
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Saturday, March 12, 2016
Coming Through
The market is coming through the level we've been monitoring, the September 2015 FOMC pivot high. Last week, market did a minor pullback after five consecutive up days and then it resumed it's upward move toward weekly OpEx. Next week, FOMC will hold its March meeting and the anticipation is there will not be another rate hike in March. As the meeting approaches, the market could experience an increase in volatility. Therefore, one should remain cautious and do not attempt to trade in front of the FED as anything can happen. Always expect the unexpected.
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Sunday, March 6, 2016
Time For A Pause
The market has been up for four consecutive day and it could be time for a pause before it continues to move higher.
In this video, a review of the market’s price action along with these momo stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, and the crude oil, gold, long term treasuries and the US dollar futures.
In this video, a review of the market’s price action along with these momo stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, and the crude oil, gold, long term treasuries and the US dollar futures.
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Tuesday, March 1, 2016
Resolved
Today’s rally has resolved the concerns that I have expressed in the post "Likely To Go Higher". The divergence between the DJ Industrial and the DJ Transportation has been rectified and the Dow Theory non-confirmed low remains to be valid. More importantly, the breadth indicator that did not provide the confirmation came through with a validation that the current upward move is supported by market breadth.
Here are the updated charts for DJI, DJT and SPX. The levels below the price are potential supports and levels above the price are potential resistance/target.
Here are the updated charts for DJI, DJT and SPX. The levels below the price are potential supports and levels above the price are potential resistance/target.
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Labels:
breadth,
DJI,
DJT,
Dow Theory,
spx
Sunday, February 28, 2016
Likely To Go Higher
One thing I have learned a long time ago is that the market will never ring the bell to inform us it has made a top or a bottom, or it has changed direction. I also have learned the market never hides its intention and it will always let us know what it plans to do. What it doesn’t tell us is where, when and how.
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Market Still Hanging On
The market still hanging on after a nice bounce off the recent low near 1800. Although the SP500 did not get above the potential double bottom pivot, it hasn't collapsed back to the recent low. It could be simply digesting some of the recent gains before it makes another attempt to break above the pivot high and move to retest last September FOMC meeting level near 2020 on the SPX.
In this video, a review on what the crude oil, gold and the stock market did last week and what to monitor for the coming week. In addition, a review of the following MOMO stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL & TSLA.
In this video, a review on what the crude oil, gold and the stock market did last week and what to monitor for the coming week. In addition, a review of the following MOMO stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL & TSLA.
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Monday, February 15, 2016
It's Not All Magic!
Sometime things do appear to be magic, but do not be fooled, there is nothing magically about the market. The market is a reflection of the human emotion; how it react to various news announcements, geopolitical events, rumors, etc. If one simply focus on the price action and how it is being auctioned up and down, then one can see there is nothing magically about the price, it is all about what the market participants perceived as value.
In this video, we will look at the futures for crude, gold, bonds, US dollar, the indices along with the cash indices to get a sense where it might be headed in the near term. In addition, we will look at these MOMO stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, and see what they might do in the near term.
In this video, we will look at the futures for crude, gold, bonds, US dollar, the indices along with the cash indices to get a sense where it might be headed in the near term. In addition, we will look at these MOMO stocks: AAPL, FB, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, and see what they might do in the near term.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
The Magic Of Symmetry
The world operates in a mysterious way. There are things that just can’t be explained and act as it is magic, and one of those things is the Fibonacci symmetry.
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Monday, February 8, 2016
A Negative Start
February started with a negative tone. The SPX ended the week by losing 60.19 points or -3.1%. New low still outnumber new high, but the advance/decline is holding up while the index is making lower low. This slight positive divergence could be signaling a near term bounce.
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Wednesday, February 3, 2016
Move On Up
After Friday's rally, many market participants were disappointed on Monday by a lack of follow through rally. Instead of a rally, the market sold off on Monday and that prompted many market participants to question once again whether the market is entering into a bear market.
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Monday, February 1, 2016
Magic Carpet Ride
Here is what has transpired for the SPX, ES_F and the SPY. Hope you are enjoying the magic carpet ride!
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The Magic Continues
The market continues to hold above its 1/20/2016 low and appears be headed higher in the near term. Take a look at the following charts and observe how the price converges toward a particular level, sometime it seems like magic!
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Still Being Built
Do not be spooked by today's FOMC announcement selloff. The play has not changed, the right shoulder for the SPX is still being built. These two posts discussed the potential head & shoulder pattern and the forming of the right shoulder: "Fibonacci Magic" and "What Did The Market Do?" Here's the updated intraday chart for the SP500 emini futures and what price actions to watch for the coming days.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Fibonacci Magic
Last Sunday, I put up a post "What Did The Market Do?" which I presented a possible scenario on what the SP500 index might do in the coming days or weeks. In this video, I will present how the current potential relief rally might lead to the scenario I have presented for the SPX using the SP500 Emini Futures.
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Sunday, January 24, 2016
What Did The Market Do?
Last Wednesday, January 20, 2016, many market internals reached extreme on the negative side. The U/DVOL was more than 20 to 1 favoring the downside during the flush, the A/D line was almost completely dominated by the decliners, and the new high-new low fell below August 24,2015 level. It was like a panic flush. Go back and take a look at the 1/20/2015 morning TICK and see for yourself how many of them dipped below -1000.
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Labels:
A/D,
advance decline,
breadth,
breadth indicator,
spx
Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Valiant Effort
The market gave a valiant effort on trying to recover from its session loss but fell short at the end. The breadth showed improvement as the buying starts to accelerate and squeezing out some of shorts. The rotation from the A/D line once again gave the clue to be on the lookout for a reversal. The NDX was positive for a brief period with a slight positive breadth. But at the end, the momentum just wasn't there to carry it through with a positive close. Remarkably, the RUT closed with a small gain of +4.45 points.
During the trading session, extremity in the U/DVOL, A/D and new high-new low occurred. This casts doubt on any sustainable rise for the market. Any rally should be viewed as oversold or dead cat bounce until a confirmed low has been made.
During the trading session, extremity in the U/DVOL, A/D and new high-new low occurred. This casts doubt on any sustainable rise for the market. Any rally should be viewed as oversold or dead cat bounce until a confirmed low has been made.
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AAPL Setup For Earnings
Since the end of last July, AAPL has been on a skid. Recently, lots of talk about AAPL could disappoint on the upcoming earnings report due to Iphone sales slowdown.
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Labels:
AAPL
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Holding On
The market continues to hold above the last August low. The SP500 opened strong, then it faded as the A/D line started to reverse and went negative. Downside momentum dominated throughout the session until the last hour of trading, then the A/D started to reverse a bit and the tick started to show some buying coming into the market. The SPX printed an inside bar spinning top candle, showing indecision. For the non-short term traders, one might consider staying on the sideline until the market give more clarify on its near term intention.
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Monday, January 18, 2016
The Confluent
One of the reasons for watching multiple possible scenarios is to identify potential confluent. As there are more setups projecting a similar price target, a greater chance the price will converge to that target level. The SP500 Emini Futures displayed a confluent at the 1900.75 level in the overnight session. Three different setups were projecting a possible price target near 1900.75. The first setup is from a longer time frame Fibonacci retracement, second setup is a Fibonacce retracement from a shorter time frame, and the third setup is the Fibonacci extension via a possible bull flag measured move. The confluent from these setups does not guarantee the 1900.75 level will be hit, it simply imply a higher probability that the price will reach this level. And this time, the odds played out and the price tagged the 1900.75 before it pulled back.
ES_F:

ES_F:

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Sunday, January 17, 2016
Waiting For Confirmation
Finally, the long awaited test of the August low has arrived. The SPX went below August 24, 2015 low when it dipped down to 1857.83. The DJI held above the August 24, 2015 low, but it did come down to test the September 29, 2015 low of 15,942.37. The NDX didn’t drop down to test its September 29 low of 4053.12, it didn’t even test that day’s close. The RUT continues its downward trajectory and put in another new low from its high.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Stocks To Watch
So far in the new year, the market has not been very kind to the longs. But don't be despaired, a dead cat bounce might be in the offing. Before you dive in on anything that bounce, pay attention to the earnings date as the new earnings season has just begun.
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Sunday, January 10, 2016
Broken Down?
In my last post, "Shaky Start", I stated there is a positive breadth divergence and that a rally could soon appear. Although the market continues to drop last Thursday and Friday, the positive divergence still has not dissipated but is getting close to be back in sync. As a good student of the market, I will wait until the divergence has disappeared to give up on the expectation of a dead cat rally. And if we look at the latest price action, things have not broken down as the market lead us to believe, at least not yet!
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Wednesday, January 6, 2016
A Shaky Start
So far, the market started 2016 with a lot of shakings. The SP500, SPX has lost 53.68 points or -2.6% after the first three days of trading. Many are wondering is this the beginning of the long overdue ‘bear’ market. Whether it is or not, let’s take a look at what the market has been telling us.
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Monday, January 4, 2016
2016 Came In With A Bang!
Happy 2016 everyone. What a start for the new year. Market came down hard, and many blame the China market for the drop. But whatever the reason, this drop seem to be in the work for the last couple weeks. In this video, we will take a look at the indexes and their respective ETF along with these MOMO stocks: AAPL, FB, BABA, NFLX, TWTR, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA and IBB.
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Sunday, January 3, 2016
2015 Market Recap
2015 has been one of the most difficult year for many traders, myself included. Before we start trading in 2016, let's take a look at how the market had performed in 2015.
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Here's How They Look
Although there is still one more trading session left in 2015, here is how the market indices look as of the last trading session in 2015.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
This Looks Like A Top
Lots of people been calling the start of a bear market and saying the market has topped. From what I have seen in the past, the current price formation on the SPY chart doesn't look like a top to me.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Still On Path
On December 1, 2015, I've posted a chart of the Nasdaq 100 ETF, QQQ highlighting the trajectory to the 2000 tech bubble high. Here is an updated chart of the QQQ showing it is still on path toward the all time high level at 120.50. From the chart, barring any black swan event, one can estimate the target will likely be hit in January or early February of 2016. This historical milestone might trigger a climactic move that could resulted in a major market reversal.
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Monday, December 28, 2015
Another Round Of Holiday Cheers
For those that were waiting for Santa’s rally last week were not disappointed. Santa arrived just in time to spread the holiday cheers before Wall St shuts down for the Christmas holiday. Now Christmas had passed and the New Year is approaching, Wall St is getting ready for another round of holiday cheers to welcome in 2016.
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Saturday, December 19, 2015
Still Waiting
Last week, the FED raised the Fed Fund Rate for the first time in more than 7 years, and the market around the globe rallied off that news until it got back to NY the follow day, then a funny thing happened, the market started to fall. It gave up all the gains from the rate hike rally and more, and the SP500 had an 83 point swing last week and ended the week at 2005.55, a loss of 6.83 points or 0.34% from previous week. As Christmas holidays approaching, market participants are still waiting for Santa to show up and sprinkle some holiday cheers to get the end of the year rally going. Looking at the recent internals, there appears to be some divergence that could be pointing to a Santa's Rally to commence very shortly, just in time before the holiday break.
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Wednesday, December 16, 2015
FED Decided To Hike
The FED has decided to hike the rate by a quarter of a percent, 0.25% today. The market has essentially pinned the FED into the hole it has dug for itself, and it is more like damn if you do and damn if you don't. The FED didn't have much of a choice but to raise even with the backdrop of an impending recession. Now the market will celebrate for a while until it realizes the potential ramification of the rate hike will have on the economy. For now, it's onward to 2016 and Santa rally time!
Here are some DOW stocks you might want to watch for possible year end move.
Here are some DOW stocks you might want to watch for possible year end move.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Market & Stock Updates - 12/15/2015
Here is a look at some of the levels for the market indices and momo stocks before the interest rate annuncement from the FED. Stocks being covered in the video are: AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, GOOGL, BABA along with these index ETFs: SPY IWM & QQQ.
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Sunday, December 13, 2015
Oil Prices
Everyone is calling for lower oil prices and with the level on oil inventory along with 'don't stop the pump' from Saudi Arabia, it is logical to expect lower prices. After all, it is the first law of economics; supply and demand! But as most things in life, it is not so black and white. There are always external factors that make everything ideal to be more reality, some people call them second order effects and I call them unintentional consequences. Whatever one might call these external effects, they do alter the pricing equation based on supply and demand. For oil, it is what one might call "Geopolitical effects."
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CL_F,
crude oil,
oil futures,
USO
Friday, December 11, 2015
Hike Or No Hike
If you have listened to all the talking heads speaking about the possibility of a rate hike from the upcoming FOMC meeting, you might have walked away thinking the rate hike from the FED is a foregone conclusion. After next Wednesday, it will be a foregone conclusion on whether the FED did or did not hike the interest rate. But in the meantime, here are some charts for you to muddle a bit and see if indeed it is a foregone conclusion that the rate hike is imminent.
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Tuesday, December 8, 2015
Gold Miners Updates
Here are the updates for the miners that were discussed in this post "Gold Miners" for possible swing long. Click on the chart to enlarge the image to read the commentary.
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Sunday, December 6, 2015
Market Updates - 12/6/2015
As the last FOMC meeting for 2015 approaches, the market will once again try to position to what it believes to be the probable interest rate move from the FED. Next week the retail sales & consumer sentiment report will give the market a glimpse on how the Christmas season might turn out for the retailers.
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MOMO Stock Updates - 12/6/2015
In this video, a review of the recent price action and the price levels to watch for the following stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA, IBB, BABA.
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Friday, December 4, 2015
Market Update - 12/3/2015
Market continues its pullback and testing its near term support. On a larger time frame, the market still appears to be trending higher. Signs of weakening breadth started to appear, but the presence of weakening breadth doesn't mean the market cannot continue to move higher. The market typically halt its ascend after a euphoric or a climactic move followed by a narrowing one last grasp of a new high. At the present, the market appears to be setting up for a euphoric move more than it appears to be setting up for a roll over. In regardless what the market breadth is saying or whatever the fundamental is projecting, the price behavior will ultimately inform the attentive participants what lies ahead.
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Thursday, December 3, 2015
Gold Miners
Recent low made by some of the gold miner stocks could be setting up for a bounce back toward previous pivot high. Here are a few of these mining stocks.
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Tuesday, December 1, 2015
New All Time High For MSFT?
Will MSFT make a new all time high when the QQQ tag the tech bubble high? Here's a monthly chart of MSFT. You make the call!
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MSFT
How's Russell?
Here is a weekly chart of the Russell 2000 ETF, IWM. How does it look to you?
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What Do You See?
Here is a weekly chart of the SPY with a revised price channel extending from 2009 to the present. What do you see? An imminent breakdown or a potential new high?
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Trajectory: Tech Bubble All Time High
Here is a monthly chart of the QQQ showing it is on a trajectory toward the tech bubble all time high made in March of 2000.
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Monday, November 30, 2015
Something To Take Notice!
Market displayed a divergence with the A/D line on the last SPX pull back to 2020ish level. The bounce off from this latest pull back failed to exceed pre-pullback pivot high. As the current pullback is taking its course, the A/D line will be the key breadth indicator to watch. Near term potential support level for the SPX is near 2056 level on a closing basis, and the potential resistance is near the 2110 level.
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Wednesday, November 4, 2015
How High Can This Market Go?
Announcement: This will be my last blog post until after Thanksgiving. I will be away for a few weeks on my long overdue vacation. I will resume blogging after Thanksgiving. Until then, I wish you and your family a Happy Thanksgiving!
Since the September 29 close, the market has been on an upward trajectory that has made many market participants scratching their head and wondering how high this market can go without a pullback. The simple answer is, “It can go higher than anyone might believe.” In other words, don’t waste time focusing on how high the market can go, focus on how to ride the trend as long as it is here. The market will stop going higher when it has decided to stop rising. Simple as that!
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Sunday, November 1, 2015
Trade Monitor For WYNN
After a pull back from the recent earnings report, WYNN has found support at the low 60s. It been trending with a higher low and could be setting up a potential swing long opportunity.
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wynn
Weekly Market Recap & Stock Updates - 11/1/2015
A review of the market and the following stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA, IBB, GS, BABA.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2015
Market Recap - 10/28/2015
Today was FOMC announcement day and as expected, no rate hike. Just moment before the announcement, the market was up with the DJI up more than 100 points. Within minutes, most of these gains were wiped out by the negative reaction to the FED statement stating it is worrying about the global slow down. As quickly as the market sold off, buyers step in and bought the market back up. At the close, the market ended higher than it was when the FOMC announcement came out. It is almost like the flip image of last FOMC announcement day in September.
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Sunday, October 25, 2015
Earnings Watch For Next Week
Next Tuesday, three high profile stocks will be reporting their Q3 earnings, and they are BABA, AAPL & TWTR.
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Breadth Improving
The NYSE A/D line has reached the July 20, 2015 level while the SPX has risen back to level near August 19, 2015. This shows the A/D has improved much more than the index, and that is a good sign if it continues. The new high/new low is also back above zero, that mean there are more issues making new 52 week high than 52 week low, another sign of improving breadth.
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A/D,
advance decline,
new high new low,
spx
The Big Channel
Here are the weekly charts of the indices showing price still trending within a multi-years price channel and holding above the support trendline.
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Friday, October 23, 2015
Market Continues To Move Higher
The market had another explosive day. One can say it was due to the possibility of more easing from the ECB or it’s just the funds saw it as an opportunity to load up after yesterday’s minor pullback. But whatever the reason might be, the market will always do what it wants to do and at the present, it wants to move higher.
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Wednesday, October 21, 2015
Market Recap & Stock Update - 10/21/2015
A recap of today's price action and an update for these stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA, FIT, GPRO.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2015
Market Recap & Stock Update - 10/20/2015
A review of the market and the following stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA, IBB, FIT & GPRO.
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What Level GS Might Be Targeting?
In this video, we will attempt to find clues to help us to determine where GS might be headed before this week’s OpEx. We will look at the recent price action of GS from different time frames to search for clues.
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Labels:
GS
Monday, October 19, 2015
Market Recap & Stock Update - 10/19/2015
A recap of today's market price action and an update on the following stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA, IBB, MS, JPM, BAC, C, GS.
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Sunday, October 18, 2015
The Significance Of September 28, 2015
What is the significance about September 28, 2015? I’m sure it has significance to many people in many different ways, but to the market, it could be the day when it made a corrective bottom for the recent corrective phase.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2015
Still Believe Rate Hike In 2015?
Look at the chart for the 20+ year treasury bond ETF, TLT. Do you still believe the FED will raise rate in 2015? The market doesn’t believe it will. Pay attention to the Q4 projections & guidance from companies reporting their Q3 earnings. Watch and listen for these key words; “cost reduction”, “reduce spending”, and the dreaded “workforce reduction” or “R.I.F” (Reduction-In-Force, a more politically correct acronym for ‘layoff’). The US economy is not ready for a rate hike, and the FED knows it. Its talk about a possible rate hike this year is just rhetoric.
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Monday, October 12, 2015
Sunday, October 11, 2015
Weekend Market Recap & Stock Update - 10/11/2015
A review of the market and some stocks, and some potential price levels to watch for the coming week.
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Thursday, October 8, 2015
Market Recap & Stock Update - 10/8/2015
A recap of today's market action and an update on AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA, IBB, MS, JPM, BAC, C.
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Wednesday, October 7, 2015
Tuesday, October 6, 2015
Sunday, October 4, 2015
Thursday, October 1, 2015
Market Recap & Stock Update - 10/1/2015
A brief update of the market and these momo stocks: AAPL FB AMZN NFLX GOOGL TWTR TSLA IBB.
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Wednesday, September 30, 2015
Market Recap & Stock Update - 9/30/2015
In this video, we will review the market and the following momo stocks: AAPL, FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOGL, TWTR, TSLA and ETFs; TLT, UUP, IBB.
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